Discount Stores Report

Thursday
Jul292010

London Assembly shop report doesn't tell the true picture on shop closures!

The Times (p45) reports that a London Assembly report identifies about 7,000 'small or independent' shops closing over the last 10 years. We can report from our physical walking of every postcode in London that within the main London postcodes of N, NW, E, EC, W, WC, SE and SW that over 16,000 Independent Shops (Comparison, Convenience and Service retail) have closed in the last 5 years! Comparison Goods shops alone account for nearly 9,000 and if you add pubs, restaurants and cafes then the number of Independents that have closed in the last 5 years is 23,911! Where do they get their data from?


Monday
Jul262010

The M&S Effect

There has been a fair amount of comment (see Retail Week) on the effect of M&S closing stores in town centres - the main reason being the 'pull' effect an M&S store has, with the footfall they attract, as well as the 'brand value' of being a 'town with an M&S'. M&S  have announced (impending) store closures in Grantham, Skegness, Scunthorpe and Nuneaton. Scunthorpe currently has the highest shop vacancy rate of the four - it will be interesting to see what happens to store openings and closures over the next 12 months to see what the effect is on the town centres.

Tuesday
Jun292010

LDC Newsletter - June 2010

Newsletter June 2010

Welcome to our June newsletter. The Budget has delivered what we all expected - more/increased TAXES! Double dip debate abounds and retailers are wrestling with the 20% VAT increase coming in January. Consumers notwithstanding, how will this impact retailers with what has been an additional 5% taken off from their margins in 12 months? Higher prices, less offer and/or more closures?

One thing is for sure, there will be less £££ out there being chased by more retailers and shopping channels than ever before. We will be monitoring the physical changes taking place with our army of field researchers and so are in a position to be your 'radar' when it comes to changes within centres, as well as activities of your competitors.

National vacancy rates have dropped slightly this week to 12.3% - the lowest we have seen in 2010. An ever increasing number of centres are showing a stabilisation of their shop vacancy. A reduction in the number of vacant shops is being seen in the more affluent areas of London and the South East, examples being Barnes (7.9%) and Putney (9.8%). Elsewhere increases continue but at a much slower rate and include centres such as Newcastle upon Tyne (19.0%) and Hartlepool (16.9%).

Field Army for hire!

We have over 40 research professionals across the UK, who can be deployed to tackle any bespoke work you need undertaking. Recent examples include footfall counts and photography. LDC is here to service any data needs you have and can be deployed quickly and cost effectively.

We recently carried out some footfall work across the North East of England for a retailer with over 500 stores UK wide. Here's their view of LDC; "we were very impressed with the punctuality and efficiency of delivery of the data, so much so we have used LDC twice for further field work in the last four weeks. They are efficient, methodical and speedy in their processes allowing for a quick turn around. The data they provide is a key decisionmaking tool for the company. Thank you."

Call us if you have something in mind.

LDC Factoids!

  • Which town/city has 54% of its total offer being pubs, clubs, restaurants, cafes and accomodation (Leisure)?
  • How many jewellery shops are there in central London?
  • Outside of Central London, which city/town has the next highest number of health food shops?
  • Excluding London, who is the charity shop capital of Great Britain?

Answers at the end of the newsletter.

Data visualisation!

We have begun work on how we can better visualise our data other than in spreadsheets or specialist PDF reports. We are looking at ways in which we can build a group of reports around what we get asked for all the time, as well as enabling bespoke reports to be published. We are also looking into ways that you can access the data and reporting software to do it yourself if that meets your requirements. We hope to have some draft reports by August at the latest.

Town centres updated this month include...

To find out if we have just visited your town centre click here

Key industry events

Below are some of the events which we have recently been to or are going to - contributing, supporting or presenting!

  • The Scotsman Retail Conference (Edinburgh - 1 June)
  • British Property Federation annual conferece (London - 8 June)
  • British Retail Consortium Annual Retail Conferrence (London - 10 June)
  • ATCM World Congress (London 16-19 June)
  • Colliers CRE Midsummer report briefing (London - 22 June)
  • Data Marketing Show (London - 29/30 June)
  • Virtual Retail NOW (Online - 29/30 June)

SAVE THE DATE!

  • British Property Federation Retail Summit (Bank of America Merrill Lynch, London - 9 September 2010) - Publication of LDC Shop Vacancy report 2010

Our Puns of the Month for June...

Here is our latest list of creative names for businesses as we update and add new businesses to our database. Here are our Top Puns for June...

Factoid answers!

  • Blackpool has 54% of its offer being Leisure uses
  • Central London has 485 jewellery shops
  • Nottingham has 10 health food shops whilst central London has 62!
  • Brighton & Hove with 39 charity shops
Friday
May282010

Tesco planning to open 15th store in Norwich!

We all know that supermarkets are expanding but it is amazing to think that Tesco could have 15 stores (different formats) in Norwich. I have just looked into Norwich and its immediate surroundings and we are tracking nearly 70 supermarkets. They clearly like supermarket shoping in Norwich! This looks like one of the largest supermarket concentrations for the size of town. In the UK we are tracking c.11,500 supermarkets, convenience stores and food shops.

Friday
Apr162010

Healthy High Street - Conference

The BIS (used to be the DTI) held what turned out to be a really good conference on Britain's High Streets. Some good speakers - and a great chairman/moderator in Anthony Murphy (Director Responsible for Retail, BIS).

Some interesting comments/facts came out of it:

- One of the UK's largest landlords monitors the 'occupational cost' (includes rents, rates, insurance) of its tenants versus their sales - if the occupational cost goes about 25% of sales, this is an indicator that a tennant may well  look to leave/break their lease.

- Most national retailers now look to cover 80% of the population through their stores - and the rest through the internet.

- A Town Centre Manager gave his key benchmarks for how their town is performing:

  • Footfall - benchmarking local, competing towns and national
  • Retail Sales - build up trust with local retailers and they will share their numbers
  • Transport & Parking - occupancy, pricing and car-counting
  • Entertainment - how its performing
  • Hotel Occupancy
  • Crime

- Intersting fact - 27% of the town centre economy comes from the evening trade.

- In the last 10 years, supermarket sales have gone from 5% to 40% of all retail sales.

- Has anyone done a study on town centres with large public sector employment (e.g. Newcastle) and looked at which towns are most vulnerable when the public sector spending cuts kick in?

- Who is going to produce the IPD of retail - rents and sales? I would argue LDC!

Something I think people need to wake up to is the fact that not all towns can 'win'. And some towns should acknowledge the changing high street, and should aspire to a smaller high street, with more independents/variety, and good local offerings such as the butcher, fishmonger and baker.

All in all, well worth attending.

Monday
Apr122010

Healthy High Street - Conference

We will be attending the Healthy High Street Conference at the BIS Conference Centre tomorrow - should be an interesting debate about what are the early indicators of a failing high street/town. High Street health seems to be getting a lot of attention at the moment - which is unsurpising given how many vacant shops there are out there. And as we keep saying - this isn't about the recession - there are much longer term factors at play.

Monday
Mar222010

Financial Mail - Empty stores and falling rents spark a boom...

Wednesday
Mar172010

Can Britain's High Streets be saved?

Tomorrow Matthew is attending the Retail Week conference on Saving Britain's High Streets in Birmingham. Say hi if you see him!

With PwC quoting figures of 18-20% of current vacant shops (we have over 18,000 across the 705 towns we walk!) never being reoccupied as shops, Supermarkets becoming like 'Department Stores' in their offer along with aggressive exapnsion plans in both new locations and extensions, an increasing proportion of space being shopping centres/retail destinations and the reality that many of us believe that the recession has yet to really hit the consumer (increased taxation & unemployment is a reality) then what future for high streets? The space offered by new schemes is more to the liking of modern retailing - open, light, flexible as well as benefitting from a high concentration of retailers under one roof. Should shopping centres become more amenable to Independents who are the mainstay of many high streets then will this 18-20% rise dramatically higher?

We will let you know what we find but in the meantime if you have any bright ideas or feedback on this topic then please let us know. Thanks

Tuesday
Mar022010

Orange and T-Mobile get go ahead ....

This merger is clearly masive so over the next couple of weeks we will be looking at the store presence of both to see how and what they might change and where. If you are after this kind of detail then let us know and we can work faster!

Tuesday
Mar022010

Retail Week Conference 2010

Matthew will be at the Retail week conference on Wednesday and Thursday so if you are also going then let him know so he can meet up and talk through what we are up to and how our data and insight is evolving. His mobile is 07799772258.